As the 2025 NHL Draft approaches, time is of the essence for evaluating prospects. Regular seasons are concluding, playoffs are on the horizon, and the U18 international tournament is drawing near. Scouting teams are working intensely to finalize their assessments before submitting their definitive lists for the upcoming draft.
This draft class appears to have a relatively well-defined top tier of approximately 10-15 players expected to be selected in the first round. While the exact order within this group may vary among analysts, the core names are largely consistent. The draft’s intrigue and the uncertainty in pick order increase in the latter half of the first round.
Beyond the midpoint of the first round, a broader range of players becomes potential picks. This characteristic, while not unusual, is typically observed later in the draft process. Some interpret this as an indicator of a less robust draft class. However, this early expansion of potential draftees allows more teams to prioritize drafting based on organizational needs rather than solely on selecting the best available player. This approach can reduce pressure for immediate impact, fostering a more patient developmental pathway.
While the skater depth in this draft might be questioned by some, the goaltending prospects are promising. Several talented goalies are currently playing in Europe, alongside a notable group in North America. Due to his size, Josh Ravensbergen from the WHL’s Prince George is anticipated to be the first goalie chosen, but it’s plausible that up to three goalies could be selected in the first round. This will likely depend on teams holding multiple picks and the specific teams possessing those picks.
Several compelling questions surround this draft class. Following Matthew Schaefer, who will be the next defenseman picked? Despite missing a significant portion of the season due to injury, is Schaefer still likely to be the top overall selection?
Regarding injuries, can Roger McQueen recover sufficiently to regain a top-five position in this draft class?
Another injury-related question concerns Carter Bear’s draft position. He was rapidly ascending towards the top 10 before an Achilles injury curtailed his season. While a top 10 selection remains probable, Peyton Krebs’ experience in the 2019 draft serves as a cautionary example. Krebs, initially considered a top 10 prospect, was picked 17th overall after a similar injury and has faced challenges establishing his NHL footing even after nearly 300 games.
Furthermore, how will NHL teams evaluate and select smaller, highly skilled forwards? Which of these players will distinguish themselves, and where will they be drafted?
The dynamic between CHL and NCAA prospects also presents questions. To what extent will this influence the draft?
Will the signing window for CHL players remain at two years, or will it extend to four years, aligning with NCAA draftees? Will NHL teams have clarity on this matter before the draft in Los Angeles?
Will the NCAA modify its stance on signed players participating in NCAA hockey, or will all professionally signed players be restricted to their junior leagues or the AHL?
Currently, questions seem to outweigh answers. In the interim, here are the March draft rankings.
No. 1: Matthew Schaefer, D, 6-foot-2, 183 pounds, Erie Otters (OHL)
Schaefer is continuing his rehabilitation and is scheduled for re-evaluation in early April. He may not need to play again this season to maintain his top ranking. However, there is anticipation to see him play if Erie advances further in the playoffs.
